Definition of a DLM
Parameters of a DLM
Dynamic Linear Models can be combined in order to model different time dependent phenomena, for instance seasonal with trend
Build a block diagonal matrix by combining two matrices of the same size TODO: Test and check this function
Forecast a DLM from a state
Similar Dynamic Linear Models can be combined in order to model multiple similar times series in a vectorised way
A polynomial model
A first order regression model with intercept
Build a 2 x 2 rotation matrix
Create a seasonal model with fourier components in the system evolution matrix
Create a seasonal model with fourier components in the system evolution matrix
the period of the seasonality
Simulate a single step from a DLM
Simulate from a DLM at the given times
Simulate from a DLM
Simulate the state at the given times
Simulate the latent-state from a DLM model
Perform a single forecast step, equivalent to performing the Kalman Filter Without an observation of the process
Perform a single forecast step, equivalent to performing the Kalman Filter Without an observation of the process
a DLM specification
the current time
the mean of the latent state at time t
the variance of the latent state at time t
the parameters of the DLM