Credible intervals from a set of samples in a distribution
Credible intervals from a set of samples in a distribution
the lower interval
the upper interval
A single observation of a time series
In order to calculate Eta in the LGCP model, we need to merge the advance state and transform state functions
Forecast data
Forecast data
the time of the observation
an observation of the process
the upper and lower credible intervals of the observation
the transformed latent state
the credible intervals of the transformed latent state
the untransformed latent state
the intervals of the latent state
The state of the metropolis-hastings algorithms
The state of the metropolis-hastings algorithms
the log-likelihood of the observations given the latent state and the current parameters
the current set of parameters
the total number of accepted moves in the metropolis hastings algorithm
A single observation of a time series, containing a realisation of the filtering state
A single observation of a time series, containing a realisation of the filtering state
Implementation of the particle metropolis algorithm
Implementation of the particle metropolis algorithm
a function from parameters to LogLikelihood
the starting parameters for the metropolis algorithm
a SYMMETRIC proposal distribution for the metropolis algorithm (eg. Gaussian)
Implementation of the particle metropolis hastings algorithm specified prior distribution
Implementation of the particle metropolis hastings algorithm specified prior distribution
a function from parameters to LogLikelihood
a generic proposal distribution for the metropolis algorithm (eg. Gaussian)
the starting parameters for the metropolis algorithm
A class representing a return type for the particle filter, containing the state and associated credible intervals
A class representing a return type for the particle filter, containing the state and associated credible intervals
the time of the process
an optional observation, note discretely observed processes cannot be seen at all time points continuously
the mean of the empirical filtering distribution at time 'time'
Representation of the state of the particle filter, at each step the previous observation time, t0, and particle cloud, particles, is required to compute forward.
Representation of the state of the particle filter, at each step the previous observation time, t0, and particle cloud, particles, is required to compute forward. The meanState and intervals are recorded in each step, so they can be outputted immediately without having to calculate these from the particle cloud after
Representing a realisation from a stochastic differential equation
A single observation of a time series
A single observation of a time series
A binary tree implementation, to be used when combining models Hopefully this simplifies "zooming" into values and changing them